Likelihood of each candidate becoming their party's nominee (with change from last time):
Democrats
Obama 60% (--)
Clinton 40% (--)
Obama makes a comeback to virtually tie Hillary on Super Tuesday. Now what?
Republicans
McCain 90% (+15)
Huckabee 7% (+6)
Romney 3% (-21)
McCain is still the man to beat, but Huckabee looks like the only one capable of doing so (but maybe only if Romney drops out).
Overall
McCain 41% (+1)
Obama 40% (--)
Clinton 14% (-1)
Romney 1% (-7)
Huckabee 3% (+2)
Bloomberg 1% (--)
Obama and McCain, the most electable Democrat and Republican, still look like the two most likely heirs to the throne
By Party
Democratic 54% (-1)
Republican 45% (+1)
Independent 1% (--)
The continued rise of McCain makes it more likely that a Republican will be in office next January
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