Occasional musings too long to fit in my facebook status updates

Sunday, October 18, 2009

Top 25 Update

A recap of this weekend.
(teams that lost crossed out, teams with impressive wins in green, teams with less than impressive wins in red)
update:  actual rankings in parentheses -- I was within one on 26/33 (I knew the bottom half would be tough)


Previous


Projected


My Rankings
1.
Florida

1.
Florida (2)

1.
Alabama
2.
Alabama

2.
Alabama (1)

2.
Florida
3.
Texas

3.
Texas (3)

3.
Cincy
4.
VaTech

4.
Cincy (5)

4.
Iowa
5.
Boise St.

5.
USC (4)

5.
Texas
6.
USC

6.
Boise St. (6)

6.
USC
7.
Ohio St.

7.
Iowa (7)

7.
TCU
8.
Cincy

8.
Miami (8)

8.
Miami
9.
Miami

9.
LSU (9)

9.
Penn St.
10.
LSU

10.
TCU (10)

10.
Houston
11.
Iowa

11.
Oregon (12)

11.
OK St.
12.
TCU

12.
Penn St. (13)

12.
GA Tech
13.
Oregon

13.
OK St. (14)

13.
Boise St.
14.
Penn St.

14.
GA Tech (11)

14.
Oregon
15.
Nebraska

15.
BYU (16)

15.
LSU
16.
OK St.

16.
Houston (17)

16.
VaTech
17.
Kansas

17.
Utah (19)

17.
Pitt
18.
BYU

18.
VaTech (15)

18.
Ohio St.
19.
GA Tech

19.
Ohio St. (18)

19.
Tx Tech
20.
Oklahoma

20.
Pitt (20)

20.
West Virginia
21.
S. Florida

21.
W. Virginia (22)

21.
BYU
22.
S. Carolina

22.
Tx Tech (21)

22.
Oklahoma
23.
Houston

23.
Kansas (24)

23.
Utah
24.
Utah

24.
Oklahoma (25)

24.
Nebraska
25.
Notre Dame

25.
Nebraska (29)

25.
Ole Miss
26.
Pitt

26.
S. Florida (28)

26.
Michigan
27.
Auburn

27.
Ole Miss (27)



28.
West Virginia

28.
S. Carolina (23)



29.
Ole Miss

29.
Michigan (30)



30.
Wisconsin

30.
Notre Dame (26)



31.
Missouri

31.
C. Michigan (31)



32.
Arkansas

32.
Cal (33)






33.
Arizona (32)






games between (projected) top 25 teams next week:

TCU at BYU
Oklahoma at Kansas

other losable games for top 25 teams:

Tennessee at Alabama
Oregon St. at USC
Auburn at LSU
Iowa at Michigan St.
Oregon at Washington
Penn St. at Michigan
Georgia Tech at UVa
South Florida at Pitt
Air Force at Utah
UConn at West Virginia

other random thoughts:

-Other than figuring out how high Iowa and Cincy will rise (my guess: not as much as they deserve to), it's hard for me to imagine the top 17 being much different.  But everything after that is almost a blind guess -- I see a lot of teams that don't deserve to be ranked that high and nowhere else to put them.

-A couple weeks ago I said I was skeptical of Kansas and Missouri -- that seems like a good guess.  And I'm still skeptical of LSU, Oregon, and Boise St.  Add BYU to the list of teams I expect to fall as the season continues.  I expect Oklahoma, VaTech, Texas Tech, and possibly Penn St. to finish the regular season ranked higher than they will be this week.

-Is anybody else completely underwhelmed by what they've seen by Texas so far?  I'm underwhelmed by Florida as well, but that's partially because the bar was set so high in the first place.  Both teams were mighty lucky to escape with wins today.

-If we ranked teams purely based on what we've seen on the field so far this year, the top 5 would have to be: 1.) Alabama, 2.) Cincy, 3.) Iowa, 4.) Florida, 5.) Texas

update: I think it was well-deserved, but I'm still quite surprised that 'bama jumped over Florida to claim the #1 ranking.  I was also surprised that S. Carolina and Notre Dame only dropped one place each, but I think those are fair rankings.

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Buffalo, New York, United States