Occasional musings too long to fit in my facebook status updates

Wednesday, December 16, 2009

Are the Pirates Really a "Small-Market" Team?

In today's posting on the Pittsburgh Baseball Club blog, Pirates Columnist Dejan Kovacevic takes issue with those who call Pittsburgh a "small-market" team.  He cites a list of US television markets ranked by size to show that there are a number of teams based in smaller markets than Pittsburgh.  Using that same list and simply dividing by two when a market has two teams, we end up with the table below of teams ranked by TV market size.  The Pirates rank 25th out of 30 teams.

It seems to me that ranking at the 17th percentile in terms of market size would merit the term "small-market".  To make matters worse, a number of teams below the Pirates have sizable fan bases in nearby large markets. The Orioles have a numbers of fans in the DC/Hagerstown and Norfolk/Portsmouth/Newport News areas and the Reds have fans in the Columbus and Nashville areas.  All four of these markets are made up around a million households or more.  What other large market contains a significant number of Pirates fans?  Harrisburg?  The closest team above the Pirates are the Cardinals, who have a number of fans in nearby Memphis.  In short, the only teams that I'm confident don't have more people within their area of influence (or "country of baseball") are San Diego, Kansas City, and Milwaukee.  Even if it's the case that these three teams are in smaller markets, that doesn't disprove the notion that Pittsburgh is a small market -- remember, it's small market; not smallest market.

In terms of his other points, I agree that market-size is not a huge issue for the Steelers and Penguins -- partially due to salary caps in their respective leagues and partially due to the immense popularity of the two teams -- and that a market, to some extent, is what a teams makes of it.  I guess the demarcation is between saying that the Pirates are hampered between being in a small market and saying that the Pirates can never compete because they're in a small market.  The former is demonstrably true, while the latter is demonstrably false.


Rank
 Team
Designated Market Area (DMA)
TV Households

1
Yankees
New York, NY (/2)
3,746,765
2
Mets
New York, NY (/2)
3,746,765
3
Phillies
Philadelphia, PA

2,955,190
4
Dodgers
Los Angeles, CA (/2)

2,829,585
5
Angels
Los Angeles, CA (/2)

2,829,585
6
Rangers
Dallas-Ft. Worth, TX

2,544,410
7
Red Sox
Boston, MA (Manchester, NH)

2,410,180
8
Blue Jays
Toronto (est*)
2,400,000
9
Braves
Atlanta, GA

2,387,520
10
Nationals
Washington, DC (Hagerstown, MD)

2,335,040
11
Astros
Houston, TX

2,123,460
12
Tigers
Detroit, MI

1,890,220
13
Diamondbacks
Phoenix, AZ

1,873,930
14
Mariners
Seattle-Tacoma, WA

1,833,990
15
Rays
Tampa-St. Petersburg (Sarasota), FL

1,805,810
16
Cubs
Chicago, IL (/2)

1,750,505
17
White Sox
Chicago, IL (/2)

1,750,505
18
Twins
Minneapolis-St. Paul, MN

1,732,050
19
Rockies
Denver, CO

1,539,380
20
Marlins
Miami-Fort Lauderdale, FL

1,538,090
21
Indians
Cleveland-Akron (Canton), OH

1,520,750
22
Giants
San Francisco-Oakland-San Jose, CA (/2)
1,251,700
23
A's
San Francisco-Oakland-San Jose, CA (/2)
1,251,700
24
Cardinals
St. Louis, MO

1,249,450
25
Pirates
Pittsburgh, PA

1,154,950
26
Orioles
Baltimore, MD

1,093,170
27
Padres
San Diego, CA

1,073,390
28
Royals
Kansas City, MO

941,360
29
Reds
Cincinnati, OH

918,670
30
Brewers
Milwaukee, WI

901,790


notes: Dividing markets in half when that market has two teams results in misleading numbers, both because fan bases aren't split 50/50 and because most of those teams have geographic bases that cover other markets (e.g. the Yankees and Hartford, the Giants and Sacramento, and the Mariners and Portland (OR)). The figure for Toronto was estimated based on the fact that Toronto's metro area of 5.5 million people is slightly larger than the metro area for Atlanta.  I don't know what their actual Nielsen-equivalent number of households would be, but it's clearly much larger than the Pirates.

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Buffalo, New York, United States