Occasional musings too long to fit in my facebook status updates

Saturday, November 14, 2009

Top 25 Update

How this weekend played out:
(teams that won crossed out, teams with impressive wins in green, teams with less than impressive wins in red)
update: actual rankings in parentheses -- I was within one for all of the top 17, but for only 3 of the next 17

 
Previous


Projected


My Rankings
1.
Florida

1.
Florida (1)

1.
Texas
2.
Texas

2.
Texas (3)

2.
Alabama
3.
Alabama

3.
Alabama (2)

3.
Florida
4.
TCU

4.
TCU (4)

4.
TCU
5.
Cincy

5.
Cincy (5)

5.
Cincy
6.
Boise St.

6.
Boise St. (6)

6.
Pitt
7.
GA Tech

7.
GA Tech (7)

7.
GA Tech
8.
Pitt

8.
Pitt (8)

8.
Ohio St.
9.
LSU

9.
Ohio St. (9)

9.
Oregon
10.
Ohio St.

10.
LSU (10)

10.
LSU
11.
USC

11.
Oregon (11)

11.
Boise St.
12.
Miami

12.
OK State (12)

12.
Iowa
13.
Houston

13.
Penn St. (13)

13.
Penn St.
14.
Oregon

14.
Stanford (14)

14.
Stanford
15.
Iowa

15.
VaTech (16)

15.
VaTech
16.
Utah

16.
Wisconsin (17)

16.
Wisconsin
17.
OK State

17.
Clemson (18)

17.
Oregon St.
18.
Arizona

18.
Iowa (15)

18.
Rutgers
19.
Penn St.

19.
Oregon St. (20)

19.
OK State
20.
VaTech

20.
USC (22)

20.
USC
21.
Wisconsin

21.
Rutgers (25)

21.
Clemson
22.
BYU

22.
Miami (21)

22.
Nebraska
23.
S. Florida

23.
Nebraska (27)

23.
UNC
24.
Clemson

24.
BYU (19)

24.
Miami
25.
Stanford

25.
UNC (26)

25.
Ole Miss
26.
Oregon St.

26.
Arizona (29)

26.
S. Florida
27.
W. Virginia

27.
Ole Miss (30)



28.
Auburn

28.
Navy (31)



29.
Texas Tech

29.
BC (38)



30.
Navy

30.
Utah (23)



31.
Tennessee

31.
Cal (28)



32.
Rutgers

32.
W. Virginia (35)



33.
Nebraska

33.
Houston (24)






34.
S. Florida (NR)






35.
Temple (32)






games between top 25 teams next week:

LSU at Ole Miss


other losable games for top 25 teams next week:

Ohio St. at Michigan
Duke at Miami
Oregon at Arizona
Minnesota at Iowa
Penn St. at Michigan St.
Wisconsin at Northwestern
Air Force at BYU
Cal at Stanford
UNC at BC
Kansas St. at Nebraska

other random thoughts:

-worst coaching move of the day goes to Kirk Ferentz of Iowa for running out the clock at the end of the game instead of trying to get into field goal position.  When your team is tied on the road against a top team, you have to take risks to win.  When his team had the ball within 40 yards of FG range with a minute on the clock he needed to make some sort of attempt to win the game.  Instead, he let it go into overtime and promptly lost.

-I don't know why that ball Jimmy Clausen tried to throw was ruled a fumble instead of an incomplete pass.  I've never seen a fumble propelled 8 yards forward by a QB's arm before.  The only possible explanation that I can think of is that he lost control of the ball before his arm moved forward (sure would've been nice if Musberger, Herbstreit, or somebody from the ABC crew had taken the time to figure out what the actual rule was during the review or the next two minutes of game time).

-I still stand by my prediction that TCU will emerge as the best non-BCS conference team by the end of the year

-Iowa has two losses and beat Wisconsin and Penn State, who both have two losses as well, on the road.  I'm betting the AP voters rank both ahead of Iowa anyway in this week's big rankings blunder.  Other head-to-head winners with identical records that will likely be ranked below the team they beat: UNC behind Miami, Cal behind Oregon, and South Florida behind West Virginia
update: Miami is, indeed, 5 spots ahead of UNC -- who continues to get little respect.  West Virginia is also ahead of South Florida, but Cal is one spot ahead of Arizona.  And, no, I don't think it's a travesty that Houston is behind Oklahoma St. since their records outside of that game are totally different.

another update:
underrated teams: Iowa, Rutgers, UNC, S. Florida
overrated teams: Boise St., OK State, BYU, Utah, Houston

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Buffalo, New York, United States