Think that McCain has no chance of winning? You might be right. In addition to Obama's leads in a number of formerly red states, he's doing quite well among early voters. The Associated Press released a polls today from most of the key states. They might not be accurate, but if they are then McCain has a huge problem. Not only is Obama ahead in all of the states -- and by pretty large margins in some of them -- but significant numbers of people have voted early in most of them and most of the early voters are going for Obama.
Occasional musings too long to fit in my facebook status updates
Wednesday, October 29, 2008
Monday, October 20, 2008
Underrated/Overrated (2008)
With the first BCS poll out yesterday, here are the teams that the computers think are underrated or overrated (with AP rank/computer rank in parentheses)
Overrated
Penn St. (3/7)
best win so far is against Oregon St. -- this will change if they beat OSU on Saturday
USC (6/10)
Somewhat puzzling given that the computers rank OSU #5, but they did lose to the OSU of the west
Florida (5/12)
Lost to Ole Miss + computer doesn't give much credence to LSU victory (or factor in margin of victory)
Texas Tech (8/11)
Downy-soft schedule
LSU (11/19)
No quality wins -- and, no, Auburn doesn't count
S. Florida (14/23)
Beat Kansas, but the computers don't respect Kansas
Kansas (19/unranked)
Quick, name a team they've beaten + a close loss to Okla doesn't matter to the computers
Underrated
Ohio St. (10/5)
After getting routed in the last two title games, nobody wants to see them in another
Oklahoma St. (7/3)
Started off really low
Georgia Tech (21/16)
ditto, plus the computers don't factor in a 3 point win over Gardner-Webb
Utah (12/8)
Boise St. (13/9)
The computers don't differentiate between BCS and non-BCS
Overrated
Penn St. (3/7)
best win so far is against Oregon St. -- this will change if they beat OSU on Saturday
USC (6/10)
Somewhat puzzling given that the computers rank OSU #5, but they did lose to the OSU of the west
Florida (5/12)
Lost to Ole Miss + computer doesn't give much credence to LSU victory (or factor in margin of victory)
Texas Tech (8/11)
Downy-soft schedule
LSU (11/19)
No quality wins -- and, no, Auburn doesn't count
S. Florida (14/23)
Beat Kansas, but the computers don't respect Kansas
Kansas (19/unranked)
Quick, name a team they've beaten + a close loss to Okla doesn't matter to the computers
Underrated
Ohio St. (10/5)
After getting routed in the last two title games, nobody wants to see them in another
Oklahoma St. (7/3)
Started off really low
Georgia Tech (21/16)
ditto, plus the computers don't factor in a 3 point win over Gardner-Webb
Utah (12/8)
Boise St. (13/9)
The computers don't differentiate between BCS and non-BCS
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