Occasional musings too long to fit in my facebook status updates

Sunday, September 20, 2009

Top 25 Update

Previous

Projected
1.
Florida

1.
Florida (1)
2.
Texas

2.
Texas (2)
3.
USC

3.
Alabama (3)
4.
Alabama

4.
Ole Miss (4)
5.
Ole Miss

5.
Penn State (5)
5.
Penn State

6.
Cal (6)
7.
BYU

7.
LSU (7)
8.
Cal

8.
USC (12)
9.
LSU

9.
Miami (9)
10.
Boise St.

10.
Boise St. (8)
11.
Ohio St.

11.
Ohio St. (13)
12.
Oklahoma

12.
Oklahoma (10)
13.
VaTech

13.
VaTech (11)
14.
GA Tech

14.
TCU (15)
15.
TCU

15.
OK State (16)
16.
OK State

16.
Cincy (14)
17.
Cincy

17.
Houston (17)
18.
Utah

18.
Kansas (20)
19.
Nebraska

19.
Georgia (21)
20.
Miami (Fl)

20.
Wash. (24)
21.
Houston

21.
BYU (19)
22.
Kansas

22.
UNC (22)
23.
Georgia

23.
Michigan (23)
24.
N. Carolina

24.
Missouri (26)
25.
Michigan

25.
Nebraska (25)
26.
Missouri

26.
GA Tech (26)
27.
Pitt

27.
Pitt (29)
28.
Oregon St.

28.
Florida St. (18)
29.
Tex Tech

29.
Tex Tech (33)
30.
UCLA

30.
UCLA (30)
31.
Notre Dame

31.
Auburn (27)
32.
West Virginia

32.
N. Dame (34)
33.
Auburn

33.
Iowa (31)
34.
Iowa

34.
Clemson (36)
35.
Boston Coll.

35.
Oregon (32)
36.
Baylor

36.
Utah (35)



37.
Ore. St. (38)

update: actual rankings in parentheses, I was within two on 31 of 37 teams (I'm not impressed)
Seems like Texas Tech and Pitt were moved down when they didn't deserve to be, and I'm skeptical that the same Florida St. team that trailed Jacksonville St. 9-7 late in the 4th quarter last week really deserves to be #18.   And I wonder how high Boise St. can possibly move up without a top 30 team on its schedule.



Games Between Top 25 Teams Next Week
Miami at VaTech

Other Potentially Losable Games for Ranked Teams
Arkansas at Alabama
Ole Miss at South Carolina
Iowa at Penn State
Colorado St. at BYU
Cal at Oregon
UNC at GA Tech
TCU at Clemson
Fresno St. at Cincinnati
Texas Tech at Houston
Boise St. at Bowling Green
Fresno St. at Cincy
LSU at Mississippi St.
S. Florida at Florida St.

Random Thoughts:
-My prediction that TCU will emerge as the best non-BCS team is looking pretty good
-I have no idea how far Washington and Florida St. are going to rise after their wins
-I'm also unsure how far BYU and Utah will fall and Oregon will rise

Sunday, September 13, 2009

Top 25 Update

Top 25 heading into the weekend and tomorrow's projected Top 25
(teams that lost crossed out, teams with impressive victories in green, teams with less than impressive victories in red)  update: actual rankings in parentheses, I was within one place on 27 of 36 teams


Previous Projected
1. Florida 1. Florida (1)
2. Texas 2. Texas (2)
3. USC 3. USC (3)
4. Alabama 4. Alabama (4)
5. OK State 5. Ole Miss (5)
6. Ole Miss 6. Penn State (5)
7. Penn State 7. BYU (7)
8. Ohio St. 8. Cal (8)
9. BYU 9. LSU (9)
10. Cal 10. Boise St. (10)
11. LSU 11. Oklahoma (12)
12. Boise St. 12. Ohio St. (11)
13. Oklahoma 13. VaTech (13)
14. VaTech 14. GA Tech (14)
15. GA Tech 15. TCU (15)
16. TCU 16. OK State (16)
17. Utah 17. Utah (18)
18. Notre Dame 18. Miami (20)
19. N. Carolina 19. Georgia (23)
20. Miami (Fl) 20. Nebraska (19)
21. Georgia 21. Cincy (17)
22. Nebraska 22. UNC (24)
23. Cincy 23. Kansas (22)
24. Kansas 24. Michigan (25)
25. Missouri 25. Pitt (27)
26. Oregon St. 26. Missouri (26)
27. Michigan St. 27. Houston (21)
28. Pitt 28. Tex Tech (29)
29. Tex Tech 29. UCLA (30)
30. Oregon 30. Oregon (38)
31. Clemson 31. WVU (32)
32. Florida St. 32. ND (31)
33. West Virginia 33. Ore St. (28)
34. Tennessee 34. Iowa (34)
35. Iowa 35. Auburn (33)
36. Michigan 36. FSU (42)
37. UCLA

Games matching up top 25 teams next week:
Nebraska at VaTech
GA Tech at Miami

Losable games for top 25 teams:
Tennessee at Florida
Texas Tech at Texas
USC at Washington
Ohio State at Toledo
Florida St. at BYU
Cal at Minnesota
Boise St. at Fresno St.
Utah at Oregon
East Carolina at UNC
Georgia at Arkansas
Cincy at Oregon St.
Navy at Pitt

Other Thoughts
-Houston could be ranked anywhere between about 20th and 30th, I have no idea what voters will do with them.

-By the end of the year I think TCU will emerge as the best non-BCS team.

-I don't like the rule that gave UNC a safety due to a holding penalty in the endzone by UConn.  The QB probably wouldn't have been sacked if the lineman hadn't held -- it was certainly no more likely to result in a safety than pass interference in the endzone is to result in a TD.

-updated: I'm really surprised that Oregon St. only fell two spots after needing a last-second FG to beat UNLV.  UNC and Georgia dropped more than I thought they would, but that seems fair after both were lucky to escape with wins against unranked teams.

Monday, September 07, 2009

Top 25 Update

AP Top 25 before this weekend (teams who lost crossed out, teams with impressive victories in green, less than impressive in red):
1. Florida
2. Texas
3. Oklahoma
4. USC
5. Alabama
6. Ohio State
7. VaTech
8. Ole Miss
9. OK State
10. Penn State
11. LSU
12. Cal
13. Georgia
14. Boise State
15. GA Tech
16. Oregon
17. TCU
18. Florida St.
19. Utah
20. BYU
21. UNC
22. Iowa
23. Notre Dame
24. Nebraska
25. Kansas
26. Oregon State
27. Illinois
28. Pitt
29. Mich St.
30. Rutgers
31. Texas Tech
32. WVU
33. Cincy
34. Clemson
35. Miami (Fla)


Projected Top 25 due out tomorrow:
update: actual rankings in parentheses, I was within one spot for 23 of 32 teams.  Miami was the only team I missed really badly on, I guess I wasn't as impressed by that victory as were others.  I was most impressed by nailing the rankings of Cal, LSU, Oklahoma, and VaTech since I wasn't sure how far they'd climb/drop

1. Florida (1)
2. Texas (2)
3. USC (3)
4. Alabama (4)
5. Ole Miss (6)
6. OK State (5)
7. BYU (9)
8. Penn State (7)
9. Boise State (12)
10. Cal (10)
11. LSU (11)
12. Ohio St. (8)
13. Oklahoma (13)
14. VaTech (14)
15. GA Tech (15)
16. TCU (16)
17. Utah (17)
18. Georgia (21)
19. UNC (19)
20. Notre Dame (18)
21. Nebraska (22)
22. Cincy (23)
23. Kansas (24)
24. Oregon St. (26)
25. Pitt (28)
26. Missouri (25)
27. Mich. St. (27)
28. Miami (20)
29. Iowa (35)
30. Oregon (30)
31. FSU (32)
32. Clemson (31)

Games between ranked teams next week:
USC at Ohio St.

Other potentially interesting games involving Top 25 teams:
Syracuse at Penn State
Vandy at LSU
S. Carolina at Georgia
Clemson at GA Tech
TCU at UVa
UNC at UConn
Notre Dame at Michigan
Pitt at Buffalo

About Me

Buffalo, New York, United States